Everywhere you look these days you see commentary that the Gillard Government is dead and buried. Yes, the polls are bad and they seem to be stuffing more often than they get things right, but I still think that Gillard can win the next election (scheduled for about two years from now). This observation is based on three observations:
- The first is that things can not get much worse for Gillard: she has had no luck and every time the government does something well, it is drowned out by something else – can this last?
- The second is that I do not think the Opposition is very good. Abbott and his shadow ministry are making a great deal of noise being critical but they have produced any real policies. Two years is a long time in Opposition and there is plenty of time to see things fall apart there (especially as Abbott is sitting on a deeply divided party); and
- Gillard and the Labor Government start using the ALP policy framework when designing policy. At the moment we seem to be presented with a series of policy initiatives that make no sense and are often contradictory.
The fortunes of the Gillard Government was the focus of my latest piece for the Punch available here. I received some quite aggressive emails in response to this article. Would be interested to know your thoughts.